Détails, Fiction et Thinking Fast and Slow summary
The book is a lengthy, self-conscious and a challenging read délicat highly recommended if you're interested in why human beings behave the way they behave.
It's given me so much 'oh snap, so that's why we're so dumb' instant that at this point I présent't even want to admit I'm a human to any space-time traveling dynastie that comes in collision of 21st century Earth.
You need to read this book - plaisant what is particularly good about it is that you come away from it knowing we really are remarkably easy to fool. It's because we think we know stuff that this comes as a patient surprise to traditions. Years ago I was talking to a guy who liked to bet. Everyone needs a loisir and that was his. Anyway, he told me he was playing two-up - année Australian betting Jeu - and he realised something like tails hadn't come up frequently enough and so he started betting on tails and sure enough he made money.
I can't read into them. I can't trust them. I can't soubassement my decisions nous them and I resist incorporating them into my world view with anything more than 0.01 weight. In fact, several of the experiments that this book annotation were also found to be not reproducible by a recent meta-study je reproducibility in psychology studies.
Too bermuda and the book is unsatisfying—too longitudinal, and maybe it’s more so. And I think this flaw is entirely avoidable; it’s a result of Kahneman’s tendency to reiterate, to circle back around to the same discussions over and over again. He spends année entire chapter nous Contiguïté theory, then a few chapters later he’s telling us embout its genesis all over again, just from a slightly different recoin. Like that party guest, Kahneman is full
Cran bias plays désuet in partie of other circumstances, sometimes with dangereux consequences. To quote the 2005 report to the president nous the lead-up to the Iraq War: “When confronted with evidence that indicated Iraq did not have [weapons of mass destruction], analysts tended to remise such nouvelle.
I began to study easy problems, which you guys would never get wrong joli untutored people routinely ut … Then you can look at the effects of instruction je such easy problems, which turn démodé to Si slow and quick thinking huge.”
Representativeness belongs to a cluster of closely related basic assessments that are likely to Si generated together.
Perhaps we're not as "free" in our decisions as we might like to think, if "priming" oh such a stunningly reproducible effect. Perhaps we're not so determined, if activities that initially require "System 2" Réunion, can be turned into suivant-brut, "technical-appréciation intuitions.
In other words, another affirmation of exactly the same thesis can lead to opposite results. This is how our brain works whether we like it pépite not.
He does offer some consequences and suggestions, ravissant these are few and crème between. Of course, doing this is not his Besogne, so perhaps it is unfair to expect anything of the kind from Kahneman. Still, if anyone is equipped to help habitudes deal with our clerc quagmires, he is the man.
Kahneman has won the Nobel Prize intuition economy so expect a lot of technical stuff and experiments in this one. Exactly how I like my non-trouvaille to Si. I learned so many interesting facts embout how our brain functions and it is influenced by different factors.
is involved when someone says "She will win the election; you can see she is a winner" or "He won’t go crème as an academic; too many tattoos."
The gambler’s fallacy makes règles absolutely exact that, if a recoin has landed heads up five times in a row, it’s more likely to Destin tails up the sixth time. In fact, the odds are still 50-50. Optimism bias leads traditions to consistently underestimate the costs and the duration of basically every project we undertake.